2018 Predicted Win Totals




As mentioned on last weeks podcast (which can listen to here!) I mentioned a little model that we have put together over the winter months to *hopefully* correctly predict some win/loss totals in 2018. I won't bore you with how the model churns out this particular number, however we specifically looked at a number of key contributing factors. These were:

  • A teams 2017 win total

  • The WaR (wins above replacement) of the free agents ADDED by a team

  • The WaR of the free agents LOST by a team.


American League East

  • Boston Red Sox - 94

  • New York Yankees- 94

  • Baltimore Orioles - 83

  • Toronto Blue Jays - 82

  • Tampa Bay Rays- 59

American League West

  • Houston Astros- 106

  • Los Angeles Angels - 80

  • Oakland Athletics- 80

  • Texas Rangers- 74

  • Seattle Mariners - 72

American League Central

  • Minnesota Twins - 98

  • Cleveland Indians - 93

  • Chicago White Sox - 73

  • Kansas City Royals - 61

  • Detroit Tigers - 59


National League East

  • Washington Nationals - 95

  • New York Mets - 82

  • Philadelphia Phillies - 77

  • Atlanta Braves - 70

  • Miami Marlins - 60


National League West

  • Los Angeles Dodgers - 97

  • Arizona Diamondbacks - 97

  • Colorado Rockies - 85

  • San Diego Padres - 77

  • San Francisco Giants- 71


National League Central

  • Milwaukee Brewers - 96

  • Chicago Cubs- 94

  • St. Louis Cardinals - 80

  • Pittsburgh Pirates - 72

  • Cincinnati Reds - 67

Hey, we have the Indians and Cubs not winning their divisions- but where is the fun in hot taking favourites? We're more than happy to look stupid come September.


Happy Baseball Season



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